Monday Market Musings: Canadian Mortgage Outlook Amidst Global Shifts

Jamie Ushko • September 9, 2024

As we kick off another week, the financial markets seem deceptively calm. But with key economic data on the horizon, Canadian homeowners and prospective buyers should stay alert. Let's dive into the numbers and see how they might impact your mortgage.



Canada: Charting Its Own Course?

The Bank of Canada has cut rates three times since June 6th, 2024. Interestingly, our dollar has held steady:

  • Current CAD: 0.73681 USD
  • June 5th (pre-cuts): 0.7304 USD

Source: Trading Economics


This resilience suggests the BoC might continue its independent path, potentially leading to more rate cuts that could benefit variable-rate mortgage holders.


U.S. Inflation: A Key Indicator

Wednesday brings crucial U.S. inflation data:

  • Previous: 2.9%
  • Expected: 2.6%

Why it matters: Lower U.S. inflation could influence our mortgage rates. A positive report might signal continued downward pressure on Canadian rates.


Historical Perspective: Market Dips and Rate Cuts

Let's look at past crises and their impact:

  1. Dot Com Bubble (2000-2002):
  • US500 loss: 40%
  • Fed rate drop: 4.75%

  2. Financial Crisis (2007-2009):

  • US500 loss: 52%
  • Fed rate drop: 2.50%

  3. Pandemic (2020):

  • US500 loss: 35%
  • Fed rate drop: 1.50%

  4. Today (Aug 30 - Sept 6, 2024):

  • US500 loss: 4.35%
  • Fed rate change: None yet

Data source: Trading Economics


What this means for Canadian mortgages: If the U.S. holds steady due to minimal market pressure, it might slow the pace of rate cuts in Canada, potentially stabilizing mortgage rates in the short term.


Looking Ahead

Market predictions suggest a 67.5% chance of a 0.25% U.S. rate cut on September 18th, with a 32.5% chance of a 0.50% cut. Fed Governor Christopher Waller has even hinted at supporting a rate cut:

"Considering the achieved and continuing progress on inflation and moderation in the labor market, I believe the time has come to lower the target range for the federal funds rate at our upcoming meeting," Waller stated.

Source: CNBC


What This Means for Canadian Homeowners and Buyers

  1. Variable-rate mortgage holders might see more relief if the rate-cutting trend continues.
  2. Those looking to buy should stay ready – we could see more favorable rates in the coming months.
  3. Fixed-rate mortgage holders should consider talking to a mortgage professional about potential refinancing opportunities.


Remember, while current trends look positive for borrowers, it's crucial to stay informed and consider your unique financial situation. As always, I'm here to help you navigate these changes and find the best mortgage solution for your needs.


Stay tuned for updates as we navigate this eventful week in the financial markets!

Jamie Ushko

Mortgage Broker

How to Finance a Spousal Buyout After Separation or Divorce

By Jamie Ushko • October 14, 2026
Mortgage Options During Divorce or Separation: What You Should Know If you’re going through—or considering—a divorce or separation, you may not realize that there are mortgage solutions specifically designed to help one party keep the home . For many people, the family home is their largest asset and where most of their equity is tied up. In situations like this, a spousal buyout program can allow one person to refinance the property and buy out the other party’s share—often up to 95% of the home’s value . This option can work whether you want to keep the home or your former partner does. What Is the Spousal Buyout Program? The spousal buyout program is a refinancing option that allows one owner to purchase the other owner’s share of the property as part of a separation or divorce settlement. In some cases, it can also be used to pay off jointly held debts, as outlined in a legal agreement. Below are some of the most common questions about how the program works. Is a finalized separation agreement required? Yes. Lenders require a signed and finalized separation agreement that clearly outlines how assets and debts are to be divided. This document is essential for approval. Can the funds be used for renovations or personal debts? No. Funds from a spousal buyout can only be used to: Buy out the other owner’s share of equity Pay off joint debts specifically listed in the separation agreement They cannot be used for renovations, personal loans, or unrelated expenses. How much equity can be accessed? The maximum amount available is the amount required to: Buy out the other party’s agreed-upon share of equity Pay off any joint debts listed in the agreement This amount cannot exceed 95% loan-to-value . What is the maximum loan-to-value allowed? The maximum loan-to-value is the lesser of : 95%, or The remaining mortgage balance plus the required buyout and joint debt payout The property must be the primary owner-occupied residence . Do all parties need to be on title? Yes. All individuals involved in the buyout must currently be registered on title. Your solicitor will confirm this through a title search. Does this only apply to married or common-law couples? No. While commonly used for married or common-law couples, the program may also apply to siblings or friends who jointly own a property and need one party to exit the mortgage. These cases are typically reviewed on an exception basis and require insurer approval. If no separation agreement exists, the purchase contract must clearly outline the buyout terms. Is a full appraisal required? Yes. A physical, on-site appraisal is required to confirm the property’s value before the mortgage can be finalized. Final Thoughts This overview covers some of the most common questions about mortgage options during separation or divorce, but every situation is different. Working with an independent mortgage professional gives you access to multiple lenders, specialized programs, and unbiased advice—so you can clearly understand your options and choose what’s best for your future. If you’re navigating a separation and need guidance around keeping or selling the home, feel free to connect anytime. All conversations are handled with discretion and confidentiality, and I’d be happy to walk you through your options.

How to Legally Assign a Construction Mortgage

By Jamie Ushko • October 7, 2026
Why More Mortgage Options Matter—Especially for Assignment Purchases One of the biggest advantages of working with an independent mortgage professional is access to choice. Instead of being limited to one lender and one set of products, mortgage brokers work with multiple lenders—each with different guidelines, risk tolerances, and mortgage solutions. That flexibility becomes especially valuable when your situation doesn’t fit neatly into a “standard” box. A great example of this is purchasing new construction through an assignment contract . Why Assignment Purchases Can Be Challenging Assignment purchases are often viewed as higher risk by traditional lenders. Rather than declining these deals outright, many lenders quietly make them difficult by adding layers of conditions, restrictions, or uncertainty. This can lead to delays, frustration, or financing falling apart late in the process. The Good News There are lenders—available exclusively through the broker channel —that have clear, favourable policies for assignment purchases. With the right lender and proper planning, these transactions are absolutely doable. Typical Financing Requirements for Assignment Purchases While every situation is unique, many lenders that allow assignment financing look for the following: Standard purchase qualification, including income verification, credit, and down payment Assignments accepted at either the original purchase price or current market value Minimum 620 credit score , with no prior bankruptcies or consumer proposals The full down payment must come from the purchaser —seller incentives cannot be used Required Documentation To secure financing, lenders typically require: The original purchase agreement signed by all parties The MLS listing (if applicable) The assignment agreement signed by the builder, original purchaser, and new buyer Any side agreements outlining changes to the purchase price A full appraisal to confirm value This list isn’t exhaustive, but it highlights that while assignment purchases require more coordination, they are very achievable with the right lender and guidance. Final Thoughts Assignment contracts can open doors to great opportunities—but only if your financing supports the transaction. This is where access to multiple lenders and specialized policies makes a real difference. If you’re considering purchasing new construction through an assignment, or if you’d like to explore more traditional purchase options, feel free to connect anytime. I’d be happy to walk you through the mortgage products available and help you choose an option that doesn’t limit your financing possibilities.